Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 3.294905 3.859738 4.510584 5.320231 6.306244 7.475432 8.977709
2025-01-12 2.493047 3.212308 4.140912 5.445942 7.262222 9.745262 13.475602
2025-01-19 2.012964 2.751952 3.777002 5.336545 7.710550 11.293312 17.320262
2025-01-26 1.817114 2.612330 3.785493 5.699197 8.856849 14.077963 23.862090
2025-02-02 1.640927 2.458998 3.729476 5.928300 9.819142 16.796425 31.230426
2025-02-09 1.510569 2.348377 3.710571 6.198320 10.894597 19.988086 40.699942
2025-02-16 1.373556 2.202821 3.604904 6.287434 11.648108 22.768889 50.449691
2025-02-23 1.264793 2.086923 3.527926 6.407259 12.480229 25.945886 62.544594
2025-03-02 1.147948 1.940156 3.371849 6.341329 12.905966 28.346815 73.804298
2025-03-09 1.070392 1.853077 3.311789 6.454398 13.746928 31.994963 90.528693
2025-03-16 0.983178 1.737027 3.179263 6.389378 14.159405 34.695345 105.884205
2025-03-23 0.909522 1.637905 3.066329 6.346187 14.614754 37.671048 124.057385
2025-03-30 0.822313 1.513143 2.906481 6.221834 14.983595 41.006577 148.099564
2025-04-06 0.765475 1.444017 2.857845 6.365514 16.170543 47.607859 193.074325
2025-04-13 0.695343 1.337689 2.711084 6.234524 16.543305 51.759519 231.884452
2025-04-20 0.673485 1.329258 2.779736 6.670390 18.776003 63.904088 330.155942
2025-04-27 0.642538 1.296731 2.787289 6.946235 20.623218 75.877253 449.634177
2025-05-04 0.616924 1.272406 2.810062 7.271799 22.787205 90.887726 624.348848
2025-05-11 0.582072 1.222474 2.761890 7.379348 24.225091 103.744304 815.871884
2025-05-18 0.552315 1.180710 2.727942 7.524043 25.885585 119.273751 1083.805067
2025-05-25 0.515539 1.117891 2.629997 7.444418 26.622805 130.469962 1344.857797
2025-06-01 0.491113 1.082279 2.599438 7.580991 28.363559 149.569568 1801.097227
2025-06-08 0.460630 1.028280 2.511090 7.502444 29.126962 163.281396 2249.709189